According to external sources, the current focus of XRP is not short-line price fluctuations but changes in long-cycle kinetic indicators. According to the analysts, the two months of the XRP RSI are approaching the 50th line, which is often seen as a strong and weak divide that may influence the market ' s judgement of subsequent trends.
2 months of RSI focus
The report mentions that 2 months RSI is used to observe dynamic changes in longer cycles, which are more reflective of the market stage than the dayline fluctuations. Analyst EGRAG CRYPTO believes that XRP may be repeating one of the paths in previous cycles, i.e. moving energy rapidly up into cooling and then going through deeper adjustments before entering a new expansion.
According to this, the most critical position is whether RSI can stabilize above 50. If this level is not met, it is suggested that the adjustment phase may not have been completed; if it returns to the range of 52.85 to 55.45, it will be seen by some traders as a further sign of kinetic energy repair.
Big whales sell to increase short-line pressure.
In addition to technical indicators, large-scale changes in the chain are affecting market sentiment. According to the report, Ali Charts claimed that in recent days, more than 30 million XRPs had been sold at large addresses. Such reductions usually put pressure on short-term prices and magnify the market ' s concerns about subsequent pressure.
At the same time, however, the article notes that some investors continue to focus on longer-term cyclical structures rather than selling in large amounts. Without a significant weakening of long-cycle kinetic energy, a reduction in whale size will not necessarily change the market ' s overall judgement of medium-term trends.
Regulatory expectations remain a potential catalyst.
It was also mentioned that the market remained concerned about United States regulatory progress. Some participants were of the view that the CLARITY Act, if advanced, could provide a clearer regulatory environment for digital assets and increase the willingness of institutions to participate. For XRP, such policy changes are considered one of the potential catalysts.
According to the article, XRP may face a change in supply-demand relationship if speed is increased and the flow of chips is tightened. At this stage, however, the market remains primarily concerned with the long-cycle RSI ability to hold 50 and move back further to the middle-strength.
If follow-up kinetic energy continues to be repaired, some analysts view the higher RSI area as an observation target for the next expansion phase; on the contrary, if the critical divide is breached, the market may reassess whether the current round adjustment has ended.