According to foreign sources, the market ' s interest in the Letelcoin has declined significantly in recent years, but in historical cycles, this old-licensed asset tends to appear before the event itself before it can be halved. At the current time, it is expected that the fourth LETC block award will be halved by about 27 July 2027, when the block award will decline from 6.25 LTC to 3.125 LTC.

Many times before we halved.

According to the article, before the last several rounds of halving, Letelco had reached its bottom a few months earlier and then rebounded, but it would fall back as it approached the reduction. The most recent occurred in the vicinity of June 2022, when prices dropped to about $40, more than one year before the third halving in August 2023. Since then, LTC has risen to the vicinity of $114 and has since fallen to about $80 before halving.

Two earlier cycles had a similar rhythm. Prices were at the bottom of about four months before the first halving in 2015; before the second halving in 2019, the low point was about nine months ago. Following this historical trajectory, approximately 13 months before the next halving, the Letelcoin has entered the market to see if it is again building a window early.

  • Fourth halving time: projected 2027 around 27 July
  • Changes in block incentives: from 6.25 LTC to 3 125 LTC
  • Current observation window: approximately 13 months away by half

The price is still close to the last bear market low.

However, the article does not directly equate this historical pattern with an increase in certainty. LTC is still hovering around $40, near the 2022 bear market low. Compared to Bitcoin and the Ethera, Latecocoin is one of the few old mainstream coins that remain close to the last round of bear market lows, which means both valuations to restore space and the fact that market funds have not returned significantly.

The article also mentioned that the low-level support of Lettco could be further tested if the risk-averse sentiment in the United States stock and foreign exchange markets continued to rise. In particular, the central PCE inflation data that the United States is about to publish may, if the outcome is strong, increase the market’s expectations of the Fed to maintain high interest rates, and slow down bitcoin by another US$ 60,000, thus putting more pressure on the banknote.

LitVM Testnet brings new narratives

In addition to reducing expectations by half, Letelco has recently received some attention as a result of new developments in DeFi. According to the article, since April, when the online line was tested, LitVM-compatible, the first LitVM virtual machine in Litcoin, has processed over 63 million transactions. Over the past two weeks, more than 1.5 million wallets have been added and the total number of wallets has exceeded 4.4 million.

This means that Lettco is trying to extend from a single payment network to a richer chain. However, the ability to test web data for translation into main network activity and financial sedimentation needs to be followed up. In terms of short-term market performance, halving expectations, new narratives along the chain and macro-risks will continue to collectively determine whether LTC can move beyond relative independence.