Foreign sources cited CoinGlass data that bitcoin was close to being recorded as falling for three consecutive quarters. The article compares this trend with the historical stages of 2014, 2019 and 2022, and suggests that similar patterns have existed before and after the market floor.
It's been coming back for three quarters.
CoinGlass data show that bitcoin fell 22.2 per cent in the first quarter, falling 11.91 per cent in the second quarter and still falling in the third quarter. According to the article, the weakness of three consecutive quarters is not common in Bitcoin history, but is not the first time.
It is argued that, whenever this pattern has appeared in the past, Bitcoin will normally complete the construction of the base within the next one to two quarters, and then enter a new upward phase. This judgement has also been placed in the framework of the four-year cycle often discussed in bitcoin.
- Decline in the first quarter: 22.2 per cent
- Decline in the second quarter: 11.91 per cent
- Historical and comparable years: 2014, 2019, 2022
The article links the movement to the four-year cycle
According to the review article, if the rhythm of history was repeated again, bitcoin could be re-established in early 2027. It is mentioned that the previous historical height of bitcoin appeared in October 2025 at a price of $126,080.
According to this evolution, if the market continues to operate in a similar cycle, the next high point may occur in 2029. However, this part is based on historical views and is not a market fact that has occurred.
Macro-geophysical factors still suppress risk bias Okay.
The article also points out that the encryption market is still in an obvious pressure phase. Reasons given included rising macro-uncertainties, global geo-strained conditions and declining investor risk preferences.
It is also mentioned that bitcoin has fallen by more than 50 per cent over the high point of October 2025. On that basis, the market could face further pressure if the Fed continued to raise interest rates during the year. The article also sees the renewed escalation of the United States-Iran conflict, energy price risks and inflationary pressures as short-term disturbances.
Overall, the central point of the commentary is that the three consecutive quarters have fallen closer to the end of the cycle than to the beginning of the new round. However, price repairs may still take time before the macro-environment improves.