According to external sources, the XRP had emerged from a rapid rise in the second half of 2024, but the current market context was clearly different. According to the article, while the XRP is still in a window of near time, it is not easy to replicate the increase of nearly 500 per cent in 2026.
From $0.5 to $2.4 in 2024
According to the text, in July 2024 the XRP was about US$ 0.5, rising to a high of US$ 2.4 at the end of the year, with a cumulative increase of almost 500 per cent over six months. According to the article, the round rose at a generally robust stage throughout the encryption market, with a marked recovery in risk preferences.
At that time, Bitcoin broke down for the first time by $100,000, also driving the market's overall expected warming of encrypted assets. The article mentions that, following Trump ' s re-election in 2024, a market bet on White House policies would have been more favourable to the digital asset industry, and that this sentiment also facilitated the synchronization of currencies such as XRP.
Market sentiment has clearly weakened.
According to the article, historical trends cannot directly advance the future, especially in the context of rapid changes in the macro and geologic environment. Compared to 2024, the current market optimism has receded and investor preferences for venture assets have diminished.
It is also mentioned that concerns related to the conflict between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are on the rise, further suppressing market sentiment. Based on this, the author concludes that the generalization of 2024, driven by the overall risk preference, is less likely to recur in the short term.
XRP failed to continue its previous high performance
According to the article, the XRP did not continue to strengthen after the previous round of increases, and then threw back most of the increases. For traders who hold but fail to realize the proceeds above $3, most warehouses are currently in deficit.
The author concludes that funds are now more concentrated in AI and semiconductor blocks and that other assets and industries are under greater pressure. Against this background, the chances of XRP reproducing the 2024 increase by 2026 are relatively limited.