Bitcoin has recently risen to $73,000, leading to large-scale silos. According to external sources, the increase would signal that the market might end panic sales, but whether or not to enter a more sustained up-to-date phase would depend on whether the off-the-shelf purchases could continue.
# Back to back #
According to the article, this round of rebounds was initiated from the top of $65,000 and subsequently raised to approximately $73.85 million. The driving factors include macro-environment changes in the United States, improved regulatory attitudes and the silos associated with empty crowding.
In terms of liquidation data alone, about $3.5 billion of the approximately $3 billion bombhouses were empty and accounted for about $3 billion, suggesting that the first part of the increase was more driven by passive refills than by natural purchases.
ETF Revolving funds
Foreign sources mentioned that FETF financial flows were one of the most noteworthy confirmation signals at present. Net inflows have recently been recorded for three consecutive days, totalling more than $1 billion, of which one-day net inflows amounted to $517.2 million.
According to the article, such a continuing flow of funds is usually more indicative of a real improvement in market risk preferences than a short liquidation. However, net ETF inflows alone are not sufficient to fully confirm the trend, and the sustainability of the spot market is still critical.
Chain indicators are still neutral
The article lists several chain and technical indicators that suggest that market structures are improving. MVRV Z-score, currently about 0.56, remains in a relatively neutral region, which means that prices are more volatile around the costs of holding a warehouse on the chain and have not yet reached a significant overheating stage.
The weekly RSI is about 49.5 and close to structural turning position. RHODL Ratio is also moving closer to the more positive areas in history, showing that short-line speculative funds have become apparent and that market holdouts have returned more to long-term holders.
Cash requirements remain to be confirmed
While the article as a whole tends to think that the market is nearing the bottom, it also emphasizes that the current increase cannot be considered as having established a new round of cattle markets. An important reason is that, although the spot CVD has been put on the right track, showing that some of the large funds are beginning to buy after a breakthrough, this indicator is still about 40 per cent below the 200-day average.
According to external sources, a truly more robust up-to-date phase, usually accompanied by several weeks of strong spot CVD, suggests that the market can absorb the pressure on a continuous basis rather than relying on empty headbacks to push up prices. According to the article, the expectation of an increase to $100,000 during the year would only be more sustained if $68,000 were further raised to $75,000 at the Bitcoin weekly station.
