After a sharp rebound this week, the forecast market pricing has not been synchronized to become more radical. According to the Kalshi platform contract, there is a general expectation among traders that bitcoin will remain in the immediate vicinity by the end of 2026, and that there is limited space for the round to continue to move significantly.

At the end of the year, it's expected to be around $75,000.

Based on the average pricing of the different price inter-zone contracts on the Kalshi platform, the market-based TT$ was expected to be around $75,000 at the end of 2026. The relevant contract requires the trader to determine whether Bitcoin will fall within a given $5,000 zone by 1 January 2027.

These contracts were ultimately based on Bitcoin price data from CF Benchmarks, so that their price changes could be considered as real-time market bets at the end of the year.

This week's increase is over 20%.

CNBC reported that bitcoin had increased by more than 20 per cent this week and that prices had risen to a high level since May. There are two main driving factors.

  • U.S. Treasury's hand is to ease the sale of bonds.
  • The risk-assumption situation subsided.
  • The White House held events around Clarity Act.

It was mentioned that the Tromp, encryption executives and regulators pressured Congress in White House events to push for the adoption of the Market Act. Policy improvements are also expected to be one of the catalysts for the rebound of encrypted assets in this round.

I'm not sure if I'm gonna be careful.

Although Kalshi traders remained cautious about the subsequent increase, prices were expected to be higher at the end of the year as the week progressed. Reports indicate that, by Wednesday, platform traders were more inclined to believe that bitcoin would fall near approximately $66,000 by the end of 2026.

This means that the forecast market does not deny the recent rebound, but rather believes that after rapid increases, bitcoin will not necessarily continue to rise significantly by the end of the year, and that it is more likely that the year-round trade will be closed near the current zone.