The United States Government is extending pressure on the Iranian economy to third-country businesses and financial corridors. If measures are taken, agencies that continue to assist Iran in trade, settlement or energy procurement may be cut off from the United States dollar system. This move took place against the backdrop of Iran ' s war, which has lasted for almost six months, and has extended to the Middle East energy and Asian trade networks.
The focus of sanctions shifted to “facilitators”
At the heart of this round of statements is not the addition of a single new ban, but the threat of punishment for “facilitators” who still maintain business with Iran. The United States wishes to use this to reduce Iran ' s remaining foreign trade space, particularly crude oil exports, cross-border settlements and grey transit channels.
Market concerns are whether Washington will really exert pressure on foreign banks, refineries, traders and shipping chains. If implementation increases, countries and enterprises will face higher compliance costs and some energy and commodity flows may be forced to adjust.
China is still the largest purchaser of Iranian crude oil.
China is Iran's most important export of crude oil. According to the United States Government, China absorbed about 90 per cent of Iran ' s crude oil exports. In addition to open bilateral trade, a considerable amount of Iranian crude oil continues to enter the Chinese market through informal channels.
The report cites multiple data to the effect that independent refineries are the main carriers, and that these crude oils often circulate in the name of Malaysian or Indonesian crude oil and are settled through intermediate channels outside the United States dollar system. The United States Department of the Treasury has imposed sanctions on some of the related refineries this year, but has not yet reached Chinese financial institutions directly.
Beijing openly opposed United States sanctions against Iran, arguing that economic pressure would not help to resolve the dispute. However, analysts believe that China ' s state-owned banks and large oil companies may be able to enhance compliance in practice to avoid affecting dollar financing and United States market access.
The UAE is a key transit and financial node.
The United Arab Emirates, apart from Iran, has long been one of Iran's most important trade transit areas. According to WTO data, bilateral trade between the two countries was about $28 billion in 2024, and the UAE was Iran ' s largest source of imports and one of its main export destinations.
Last week, the United Arab Emirates suspended all trade and financial transactions with Iran after two ballistic missiles had been fired on its territory, one of them targeting an oil tanker owned by the United Arab Emirates. This has led to a marked change in the already close exchange.
Turkey, Iraq and India face energy trades.
Turkey maintains strong trade and economic ties with Iran, importing both Iranian gas and exporting machinery, chemicals and agricultural products to Iran. Bilateral trade between the two countries amounted to approximately $5.7 billion in 2024. While Turkey is expanding pipeline imports from Azerbaijan and Russia, the signal to cut Iran off has not yet been released.
Iraq is more dependent on Iranian electricity and gas. Data from the United States Energy Information Agency show that Iranian electricity imports at one time accounted for more than 30 per cent of the electricity generated in Iraq. Iraq is also required to pay billions of dollars per year for natural gas to Iran. If the new sanctions are tightened, the payment of Iraqi energy in Baghdad may be restricted.
The size of India’s trade with Iran has declined significantly in recent years, but India resumed its seven-year hiatus of Iranian crude oil imports in April this year after the United States temporarily eased its crude oil export restrictions. If Washington moves forward with a new wave of secondary sanctions, Indian refineries and associated trade players will also face new compliance pressures.
