Externally, the MAD on the xRP two-week line is close to creating an unusual fork signal. Market concerns are not only due to the low frequency of this pattern, but also to the fact that the first two similar signals appeared before the subsequent significant increase.
Only twice in history.
According to the report, according to the analyst Stephen Is Crypto, this signal has appeared only twice in the history of XRP. The first took place in September 2022, when the value of the currency was about $0.53, and then went up from the bear market low, rising to about $3.65 in 2025.
The second one appeared in October 2024. According to the analyst, after that signal had appeared, XRP recorded an increase of about 500 per cent by the end of the year and once out of about six times within weeks. As a result, the current upcoming cross-section has been compared by the market with the first two rounds.
1.60 United States dollars above is a condition for confirmation
However, this appreciation is not without preconditions. It was reported that XRP had previously been blocked in the vicinity of the 1.60 to 1.70 United States dollars area, which was close to the mean-line pressure position. According to the analysts, for the current structure to be in place, the weekly line would require at least $1.60.
As at 25 August, the XRP transaction price was approximately US$ 1.48, not far from this critical position. In other words, the repositioning of prices over the next few trading periods will have a direct impact on the market ' s interpretation of the signal.
If you're blocked or turned back,
According to the article, if the MCD gold fork is finally confirmed, while the weekly line is stable above $ 1.60, XRP may open a larger top space. Although the analysts did not give a clear target for the current round, the previous historical performance, about six times, was considered the main reference in the current discussion.
On the contrary, if prices are again blocked in this area, the effectiveness of the signal will be weakened and the risk of short-term reversals will increase. The report mentions that the market may then view this pattern as a “multi-head trap” rather than a starting point for a new round of rises.