The Fed's probability of an increase of 25 basis points in September is 51.2 per cent

ON 11 AUGUST, ACCORDING TO THE CME FEDERAL RESERVE WATCH: THE FED'S PROBABILITY OF MAINTAINING INTEREST RATES CONSTANT BY SEPTEMBER WAS 48.8 PER CENT AND THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 25 BASIS POINTS WAS 51.2 PER CENT. THE PROBABILITY OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE MAINTAINING INTEREST RATES CONSTANT BY OCTOBER WAS 34.7 PER CENT, THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 25 BASIS POINTS WAS 50.5 PER CENT AND THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 50 BASIS POINTS WAS 14.7 PER CENT。