The U.S. government's probability of closing down is delayed by the House vote

99bitcoins reported that on 21 July, the United States House of Representatives passed an interim allocation bill by 220 votes to 205, which postponed the deadline for government expenditure from 30 September to 4 December, avoiding the upcoming midterm elections. This initiative triggered a lively discussion about the Government ' s probability of closing, predicting rapid market adjustments, and the contracts on Kalshi and Polymark show that the implicit probability of closing on 1 October was lower than before the vote. Despite the reduced probability, the dispute has not been resolved and the fundamental struggle over defence spending, electoral bills and the level of funding has not subsided. The Speaker of the House of Representatives, Mike Johnson, warned opposition Democrats that if the Government closed after 30 September, they would bear the ensuing chaos alone. Democrats mostly voted against the bill, and Congressman Rosa de Lauro is a member of the opposition。