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Analyst: Me and I do not give up, Holmuze Strait or become a “long-term powder barrel”

On 12 July, Ian Ralby, Senior Researcher and Managing Director of the Maritime Strategic Centre, Auxilium Worldway, warned that the war between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz could not be resolved by military means, adding that continued fighting would only push global fuel and food costs. There is a willingness on one side to continue fighting, and on the other side to continue to try to disrupt and weaken the other. This is in itself a formula for the continuation of the conflict. Unfortunately, this may mean the long-term problem of the Strait of Hormuz as a navigable waterway. The parties affected by the conflict may facilitate the resumption of the diplomatic process in the United States and the United States, but it will be difficult to change this dynamic, as both sides are volatile and have rather deep-rooted interests in success and victory. Unfortunately, the United States has a very flexible concept of what a victory looks like; on the Iranian side, there is now a very clear desire for some kind of retaliation for what has happened, an idea that leads to long-standing violent conflict。

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