For the market, the Kalshi traders forecast to be in the second half of 100 years or into shock

On 8 July, after the first half of an exciting period, the NASDAQ 100 index stood at a new crossroads. While the index has handed over about 18 per cent of the increase to date in 2026, the latest transaction data from the forecast market platform, Kalshi, sends a clear signal that investors are sceptical about the impulse power of the second half. As of Tuesday, the index of 100 fluctuates around 29173 points. According to Kalshi ' s forecast contract, traders are currently looking at whether the index will hold 30,000 points at the end of the year, with a probability of about 50 per cent. The 3000 point is not only a psychological junction, but also an important barrier that has just broken in late May this year. The current market game is stymied, and investors are not confident that the index will be able to break point 32,000 further — only about 40 per cent of the contracts look to that point. For the higher target of 33,000 points, the market's probability of winning has fallen to 27 per cent。