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Today · 2026-08-19 · Wed

The market expects the Fed's interest rate to rise to 50% this month

According to early release A, the market expects the Fed to increase interest rates this month to 50 per cent. The volatility of the market over expectations of interest rate hikes reflects the extreme sensitivity to the Fed ' s policy path. This probability level directly increases short-term financing costs and significantly suppresses risk assets. Investors are reassessing the end of the austerity cycle and market liquidity is under tight pressure. This shift in expectations has forced traders to quickly reposition their positions in response to the longer-standing reality of monetary policy。

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Analyst: Bitcoin panic selling or nearing the end, marginal sales are drying up

On 14 July, a number of market analysts concluded that bitcoin had been in panic for months or was nearing its end, and that the market marginal was being depleted. Wintermute's off-site trader Jasper De Maere stated that, despite the recent escalation of the American-Iraqi conflict and the tense situation in the Straits of Hormuz, Bitcoin remained on top of $62,000, indicating that the previous "weak hands" were largely cleared. In addition, the United States spot bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of $197.4 million last week, ending eight consecutive weeks of net outflows, further reflecting a weakening of sales pressure. Nexo Analyst Dessislava Ianeva quoted Glassnode as saying that in June, the spot market in Bitcoin sold about 2,000 BTCs on a daily basis, while in July it fell to about 53 BTCs, one of the calmest months since 2026. However, analysts have also cautioned that the current Bitco rebound is largely driven by the derivatives market and that spot purchases remain relatively weak. The upcoming release this week of CPI data and US Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh’s congressional testimony can still be an important catalyst for influencing market trends。

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SpaceX stock prices continued to decline, and Mask fell $900 billion

On 14 July, Mask fell at the $90 billion threshold on Monday, as a result of the continuing low prices of SpaceX. SpaceX stock prices fell by 3.8 per cent on Monday, to close to $140, close to its $135 IPO issuance price; Tesla stock prices fell by 3 per cent over the same period, and the roundback led to the evaporation of Mask ' s prices by $37.9 billion, the latest being $879.3 billion. Despite the shrinking wealth, Mask is still the world's richest, leading the co-founders of Google, Larry Paige ($291 million) and Sergei Bryn ($267.6 billion), holding 4.8 billion SpaceX shares and 350 million options, and about 700 million Tesla shares. Mask's peak was US$ 1.45 trillion, at a time when SpaceX stock was at an all-time high of US$ 225 or more on June 16. The Unit has since accumulated a decline of over 38 per cent. Despite weak stock prices, Wall Street analysts are still generally looking at SpaceX. Raymond James gave a target price of $800, an implied market value of over $10 trillion; according to FactSet, the average analyser's target price was $236, of which Arete Research gave $401, Morgan Stanley 300 and Goldman Sachs 205. According to Brian Gesuale, Raymond James analyst, SpaceX is "building a platform for the next generation of industrial capacity."。

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The Qubic GitHub account was invaded and the official demand was that the user replace the key and transfer the asset

A security incident occurred at the Qubic GitHub organization, where a broken account visited the code library and retrieved sensitive information. Network Guardian is required to rotate the syllable immediately between 11 and 18:00 (UTC + 8) today, when the user who unlocked Web Wallet was required to transfer the asset to a completely new identity developer, who will not be allowed to retrieve or deploy the new code from the Qubic code vault until the official audit is completed. The team asked the user to rely only on the official Discord and not to divulge the notes to others。

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Last week, the stable supply of currency resumed its growth, and the volume of long-term contract transactions continued to slow down

On 13 July, the Lokonchain released the last week of the July 6th to July 12th chain newspaper, showing that last week the total supply of stable currencies increased by about $121 million, with negative positives; DEX spot transactions rebounded slightly, but the turnover of contracts for renewal continued to slow. In addition, a total of 7 companies had a total of 909.3 BTCs reduced last week, amounting to approximately $56.96 million; Strategy had no increase or decrease in BTCs for one week in a row, while Bitmine continued to hold 27,801 ETHs, valued at approximately $49.12 million。

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Tom Lee: 2027 is probably the biggest stock-market year of our lives

Tom Lee says that 2027 is probably the biggest stock market year of our lives. He noted that the market was currently concerned about the huge expenses of AI companies and that, although many believed that they were not profitable, he believed that the story was about to turn around. Not only does AI require financial investment, it can also significantly increase the profitability of companies, improve profitability and reduce economic costs. When costs fall, the central bank will have room for easing. Such a rare and powerful combination would lead to both gains and increases in market earnings, forming the basis of the cattle market。

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Citi flag: the size of the global monetized asset market is projected to reach $5.5 trillion by 2030

In its latest report, Citi Incitute states that the current global market for monetized assets is about $17 billion and is expected to reach $5.5 trillion under the baseline scenario by 2030, with bear and cow scenarios of $2.7 trillion and $8.2 trillion, respectively. According to the report, growth is expected to be driven mainly by public market securities and, in particular, the settlement of assets along chains such as United States stock and national debt stabilization and monetization deposits will be an important basis for the expansion of tokenization。

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