According to external media comments, the encryption market has continued to weaken in recent months, with the main pressure coming from the recovery of inflation in the United States, the expected tightening of interest rates and the risk-averse situation in the Middle East. The article considers this turnback to be a common phase in the Bitcoin cycle, rather than an abnormal fluctuation caused by a single event.

Macro factors to suppress risk assets

According to the article, after a high point of $126,080 in October 2025, Bitcoin moved down to the market. After entering 2026, high inflation data in the United States rose to 4.2 per cent in May, with increased market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates.

Against this background, risk assets are under overall pressure. According to the commentary, if there were to be a further increase in interest rates during the year, funds might continue to be withdrawn from high-volatility assets and the encryption market would therefore be under greater pressure to sell.

Geographic situation increases market pressure

In addition to macro-level factors, the article considers the United States-Iran-related conflict to be an important factor in slowing the market. It is mentioned that the prospects surrounding ceasefires or peace agreements remain uncertain, which puts energy prices at risk.

If oil prices continue to rise, inflationary pressures may increase further and reduce market expectations for easing. For encrypted assets, this means that the short-term environment remains cautious.

Bitcoin adjustment is considered part of the cycle

According to the article, the long-term movement of bitcoin tends to be more cyclical. At the historical pace of the list, bitcoin was at a new height in 2017, 2021 and 2025, and the next year after the high points is usually accompanied by deeper adjustments.

It is also mentioned that, in June 2026, bitcoin fell by $60,000 twice and that about 53 per cent of the bitcoin in circulation was in deficit. According to the commentary, the current fall is more like a conventional correction in the cycle than a sudden breakdown of the market structure.

  • Bitcoinhistory is $126,080
  • It fell twice in June 2026, $60,000.
  • About 53 per cent of current bitcoin in unrealized deficit Loss

The overall view of the article is that while the current market is still constrained by macro-geo-geographic factors, historical performance has shown that bitcoin is not unusual in terms of depth adjustments after a surge.