Foreign media: An opinion article about the price space of XRP until the end of 2026 gives three scenarios of conservativeness, benchmarking and optimism. The article focuses on two variables: whether the total market value of the overall encrypted market will continue to expand and whether the share of XRP in the market will increase.
Currently, the value of XRP is approximately US$ 1.08. At this level, the value of 500 XRPs is approximately US$ 540. The article argues that if there is a significant change in the market environment over the next 18 months, the corresponding amount will be adjusted accordingly.
Conservative scenario: XRP approximately $2.71
Under the most prudent design, the total market value of the overall encrypted market rose to $4.2 trillion, close to the historic high of 2025. At the same time, the market share of XRP remained at about 4 per cent, without significant expansion.
Based on this assumption, the XRP price is about USD 2.71 and the corresponding value of 500 XRPs is about USD 1355. This result is seen in the article as a relatively mild path to restoration rather than as a major judgement.
Moderate scenario: XRP approximately $7.9
The middle scenario given in the article was that the total market value of the encrypted market had risen to $7 trillion, which had expanded further than before; at the same time, the market share of XRP had risen from 4 per cent to 7 per cent.
Under this scenario, the value of XRP is about US$ 7.9 and the value of 500 XRPs is about US$ 3950. According to the article, this scenario is closer to its baseline expectations, provided that the overall market remains strong and the XRP regains a higher market share.
Optimistic scenario: XRP approximately $23
In the most radical scenario, the total market value of the overall encrypted market rose to $12 trillion and the market share of XRP further increased to 12 per cent. According to the article, this ratio has occurred in the past large cycles.
If the above conditions are established at the same time, the value of the XRP would be approximately US$ 23, and the value of 500 XRPs would be approximately US$ 11615. The article describes this outcome as a more radical but not entirely unattainable scenario.
Key variables in market expansion and financial return
According to the article, the premise for a higher scenario is not only the performance of the XRP itself, but also broader market expansion. The conditions listed include continued access to institutional funds, an improved regulatory environment, and a recovery in the level of participation of dispersed households.
It was also mentioned that the current level of bulk participation remains historically low. This may mean either a lack of market heat or the continued availability of additional financial space.