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Today · 2026-08-08 · Sat

CME FEDERAL RESERVE WATCH SHOWS THE PROBABILITY OF INTEREST RATE FORECAST IN JULY AND SEPTEMBER

ACCORDING TO CME FEDERAL RESERVE OBSERVATION DATA, THE PROBABILITY OF MAINTAINING INTEREST RATES CONSTANT IN JULY IS 88.8 PER CENT, WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 25 BASIS POINTS IS 11.2 PER CENT TO 48.8 PER CENT IN SEPTEMBER, AND OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 25 BASIS POINTS IS 46.2 PER CENT, AND THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 50 BASIS POINTS IS 5.1 PER CENT。

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Federal Reserve Logan: In the long run, the productivity gains from artificial intelligence are very optimistic

ON 17 JULY, THE UNITED STATES FEDERAL RESERVE STATED THAT PRODUCTIVITY GAINS FROM ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE WERE VERY OPTIMISTIC OVER THE LONG TERM. HOWEVER, THE CURRENT STRONG AND REAL DEMAND FOR AI INVESTMENT IS LEADING TO INFLATIONARY PRESSURES IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE SCALE AND TIMING OF THE INCREASE IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE PRODUCTIVITY。

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Fed Schmid: Recent inflation figures are encouraging, but it is too early to conclude

On 17 July, Federal Reserve Schmidt said that recent inflation data were encouraging, but it was too early to conclude. The time had come to stop excluding food prices from core inflation targets by focusing on inflation in the design of monetary policy. Inflationary shocks are not natural and temporary and do not agree that the Fed should “neglect” certain types of price increases。

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The British investment firm Fireworks valued US$ 175 billion

On Thursday, 17 July, the British Wida Investment Company, Fireworks, announced that its annual revenue collection had exceeded $1 billion, five times the figure for the same period last year; it had just completed a $1.5 billion round of financing, with a post-investment valuation of $175 billion. The company CEO Jolyn revealed that the former coding tool, Cursor, had contributed to its excess income; now, as more and more enterprises moved to open-source models, the corporate customer structure had diversified。

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BitPay, licensed by the Dutch MICA encryption asset service provider, will expand the stabilization currency payment

On 17 July, the encrypted payment company BitPay announced that it had obtained the approval of the Financial Markets Authority of the Netherlands and had obtained permission from an encrypted asset service provider to operate under the framework of the code for the encrypted asset market in EU member States. BitPay stated that the licence would support the expansion of the company ' s services in Europe, such as encryption payments and stabilization of currency payments. All entities providing encryption-related services are subject to regulation as of 1 July, in accordance with the relevant requirements. According to Jonathan Arler, the European head of BitPay, Europe is one of the most important areas for future development. Prior to that, Ripple had announced that it had obtained a licence from a service provider of encrypted assets issued by the Luxembourg Financial Regulatory Authority。

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Net profit for the second quarter of the electricity build-up reached a record $22 billion, and demand is expected to be strong in the third quarter

THE TSMC ANNOUNCED A RECORD NET PROFIT OF $22 BILLION FOR THE SECOND QUARTER, WHICH ANALYSTS DESCRIBED AS "A SHIFT FROM EUROPE'S MOST VALUABLE TO ASIA'S MOST VALUABLE." THE CHIP MANUFACTURER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN STRONG DEMAND IN THE THIRD QUARTER AND PLANS TO INVEST AN ADDITIONAL $100 BILLION IN ARIZONA. THE PROFIT MARGIN FOR THE THIRD QUARTER IS EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 65 AND 67 PER CENT, SLIGHTLY BELOW 67.7 PER CENT, BUT "STILL SUBSTANTIAL"。

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