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Today · 2026-08-22 · Sat

Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz to expand its attacks on the Gulf States

After the United States had struck its targets, Iran had announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the expansion of attacks on Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, which had not been attacked in the past few months. This represents a substantial escalation of the situation, which traders view as a new supply risk event. Iran again warned against unauthorized passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz and expected to face upward pressure on the benchmark crude oil, freight and war risk insurance rates. For its part, the United States insists that traffic continues to flow through the southern route. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards have stated that they have attacked a number of targets in Jordan, Kuwait, Oman and Qatar. The United States military claimed to have struck more than 300 Iranian military targets within three days, with the aim of reducing Iran ' s threat to commercial shipping。

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The Coinbase bitcoin premium has been negative for 55 consecutive days and has continued to record the highest “relative” record

According to Coinglass, the Coinbase bitcoin premium has been in negative margin range for 55 consecutive days (19 May to date), the latest value being -0.0072 per cent. Previously, the index had been in a negative premium for 40 consecutive days, from 16 January to 24 February of this year, setting the record of the highest “relative negative” since its introduction, exceeding the number of days of the continuous negative premium of about 30 days during the 10-11 crash period. Historical data show that long-term negative premiums often accompany the departure of United States institutional funds and the need to guard against short-term retrenchment pressures。

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THE FEDERAL OMBUDSMAN CLAIMED THAT UAW CHAIRMAN SEAN FANE HAD ABUSED HIS AUTHORITY, AND FINN DENIED THE CHARGES

THE FEDERAL OMBUDSMAN STATED THAT SEAN FANE, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES AUTOMOBILE WORKERS FEDERATION (UAW), HAD ABUSED HIS AUTHORITY AND HAD RETALIATED AGAINST A SENIOR OFFICIAL, WHICH HE DENIED. IN HIS REPORT ISSUED ON THURSDAY, THE OMBUDSPERSON, NEIL BAROWSKI, NOTED THAT FINN HAD RETALIATED AGAINST FEDERATION OFFICIAL RICHARD BOYER FOR CERTAIN ACTS. WHILE SOME EVIDENCE MAY LEAD TO DISCIPLINARY ACTION, THE OMBUDSMAN INDICATED THAT THE DECISION WAS DEFERRED PENDING FURTHER REVIEW. THE REPORT WAS RELEASED ON THE EVE OF THE UAW LEADERSHIP ELECTION, AND FINN IS RUNNING FOR RE-ELECTION. IN HIS STATEMENT, FANE STATED THAT THE BAROWSKI REPORT WAS POLITICALLY MOTIVATED AND REFERRED TO HIS HIGHLY PERSONALIZED DISAGREEMENT WITH THE OMBUDSPERSON IN 2024 REGARDING THE FEDERATION'S EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE'S CALL FOR A CEASEFIRE IN GAZA. FANE INDICATED THAT BAROWSKI HAD CHOSEN TO ISSUE A HIGHLY POLITICAL AND FALSE REPORT BEFORE THE ELECTIONS, ARGUING THAT HE WAS PLAYING A POLITICAL GAME AND ABUSING HIS AUTHORITY。

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Analyst: Bitcoin short-term purchaser cooling, financial mobility still weak, and institutional financial return still to be observed

CriptoQuant Analyst Axel Adler issued a weekly analysis, according to his Bitcoin short-term holder ' s actual pressure model, which shows that short-term holders are currently experiencing a small cooling of their trade pressure, but the buyer ' s power remains ahead. At the same time, against the backdrop of eight consecutive weeks of financial outflows, the ETF market has recently recorded a net inflow of about $197.4 million, but this size is not sufficient to confirm the reversal of institutional demand trends, suggesting that market forces remain weak, that important macroeconomic data and events will be released next week, and that the return of institutional funds remains to be seen。

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Iranian MP: Controlling the Strait of Hormuz is Iran's “final” policy

According to the Iranian Press TV, Hassan Kashkawi, a member of the National Security and Foreign Policy Committee of the Iranian Parliament, indicated on Sunday that Iran would prefer to control the Strait of Hormuz through cooperation with regional countries, in particular Oman. He noted that “it is our clear official position that the future management of the Strait of Hormuz will be arranged by the Iranian side”. Kashkawi also mentioned that the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea provides that, in times of war, coastal States have the right to take measures to ensure the safe passage of the sea and to maintain its security in the sea. He stressed that “Iran's conduct in the Straits of Hormuz is in full conformity with international law” and described the United States attack on Iran in recent weeks over the Strait of Hormuz as “a violation of the peremptory norms of the Charter of the United Nations and of State sovereignty”。

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Once again, the EU failed to agree on a 21st round of sanctions against Russia

Once again, the EU failed to agree on a programme of sanctions against Russia for the twenty-first round. After 12 days of local time and one day of negotiations, it ended in vain. Prior to the 10 July meeting of the Ambassadors of the EU member States, the member States were also unable to agree on a sanctions programme, and the EU Presidency is still engaged in intensive consultations with member States。

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Serenity: A new “sing-out mode” has emerged in the market for a trillion-dollar company like Inverda

According to Serenity, a new “sing-out model” has recently emerged in the market for multibillion-dollar market-market companies such as Ingweida and Telecommunications: some claim that the project as a whole is blocked by expanding individual technology or supply chain details. Under this model, stock prices and market sentiment may be affected if an enterprise chooses to remain silent; if an enterprise responds, too many details are often not disclosed because supply chain information is confidential. This reliance on dispute-creating access to flows and attention is being emulated by a growing number of people, and the associated incentive mechanisms may further encourage such behaviour, which is unhealthy for market ecology。

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NEXT WEEK'S LARGE-SCALE LOCKDOWN: A COIN FOR STRK, ARB, ETC., WITH AN ARB UNLOCKING VALUE OF ABOUT $8.5 MILLION

Token Unlocks data show that on 17 July: on 17 July: deBridge (DBR) and YZY (YZY) unlocked approximately 618 million and 2.083 million, respectively, with a value of approximately US$ 10.1 million and US$ 6.1 million respectively; on 16 July: Arbitrum (ARB) unlocked approximately 9,26.5 million, with a value of approximately US$ 8.5 million,3 and on 15 July: Starknet (STRK) and Sei (SEI) unlocked approximately 127 million and 5.55.6 million, respectively, with a value of about US$ 3.9 million and US$ 2.8 million, respectively。

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CICAD: BIANNUAL COMPUTER PLATE FORECAST THE CONTINUED DISCLOSURE OF AI COMPUTING HARDWARE HIGHVIEW GAS

According to CIBSR, the six-monthly report of the A share computer block forecasts the continuation of the AI industry chain atmosphere with the overseas model over time: on the one hand, the performance of the AI server, the smart infrastructure and the software and AI application start to reflect operational repairs and revenue landings; on the other hand, the OpenAI, xAI, Meta and other overseas models continue to strengthen Agent, Coding, Multimodular and Office Accesses, and model competition is expected to continue to resonate from capacity validation to high-frequency site locations, with reasoning on side power consumption, infrastructure inputs and the commercialization of AI applications。

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Wall Street Journal survey: Iran's war hit less than expected, but inflation is more persistent

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL THIS MONTH INVESTIGATED ECONOMISTS THAT THE IMPACT OF THE WAR WITH IRAN ON THE US ECONOMY WAS MUCH LOWER THAN ECONOMISTS HAD PREVIOUSLY FEARED. BUT THE BAD NEWS IS THAT THE WAR HAS HARDENED INFLATION, ALREADY ABOVE THE FED’S 2% TARGET, AND HAS DEPRIVED THE FED OF THE SPACE TO REDUCE INTEREST RATES. THE VIEWS OF ECONOMISTS HAVE CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY COMPARED TO THE APRIL SURVEY ABOUT A MONTH AFTER THE WAR. FORECASTS PREDICT THAT THE UNITED STATES ECONOMY WILL GROW BY 2.1 PER CENT THIS YEAR, BASED ON INFLATION-ADJUSTED GDP FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2025 TO THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2026, UP FROM THE 2 PER CENT FORECAST IN APRIL. ECONOMISTS ARE EXPECTED TO REDUCE THE AVERAGE PROBABILITY OF RECESSION IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS FROM 33 PER CENT IN APRIL TO 25 PER CENT, THE LOWEST LEVEL SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2025. HOWEVER, IMPROVED GROWTH PROSPECTS HAVE BEEN ACCOMPANIED BY HEIGHTENED CONCERNS ABOUT INFLATION. ECONOMISTS EXPECT CPI TO RISE BY 3.4 PER CENT IN THE 12 MONTHS UP TO DECEMBER, UP FROM 3.2 PER CENT IN THE APRIL SURVEY. INFLATIONARY CONCERNS HAVE SURPASSED THE WAR'S BOOST TO ENERGY COSTS. ECONOMIST PREDICTS THAT FED OFFICIALS ARE WATCHING CLOSELY. PCE INFLATION, EXCLUDING FOOD AND ENERGY, WILL RISE BY 3.2 PER CENT IN 2026, UP FROM THE 2.9 PER CENT FORECAST IN APRIL。

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The biggest one-month retreat after the collapse of Terra in June, but the long-term growth logic remained unchanged

The stable currency market experienced its largest reversal in recent years in June, when the total market value decreased by $7.7 billion, the largest single-month decline since the collapse of Terra-Luna in May 2022. Since its peak in May, the stable currency market has accumulated around US$ 10 billion, two of which have been the main driving force behind the round: the USDT market value of Tether's release fell from about US$ 190 billion in May to US$ 184 billion, a decrease of about US$ 6 billion; and the USDC issued by Circle fell from a high point of almost US$ 80 billion in March 2026 to about US$ 73 billion and water shrunk to about US$ 7 billion. However, compared to the cumulative decline of more than 26 per cent in the stable currency market during the encrypted winter of 2022, the current round of adjustments is still modest, Wall Street agencies are still looking forward to a long-term outlook for the stable currency, with the flag forecast that the size of the global stable currency market would reach $1.9 trillion in 2030 under the benchmark scenario and $4 trillion under the optimistic scenario。

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