The Fed's probability of keeping interest rates constant this week is 63.7 per cent

ON 27 JULY, ACCORDING TO THE CME FEDERAL RESERVE WATCH, THE PROBABILITY OF THE FED MAINTAINING INTEREST RATES IN JULY WAS 63.7 PER CENT AND THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 25 BASIS POINTS WAS 36.3 PER CENT. THE FED ' S PROBABILITY OF MAINTAINING INTEREST RATES CONSTANT BY SEPTEMBER WAS 19.6 PER CENT, THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 25 BASIS POINTS WAS 55.2 PER CENT AND THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 50 BASIS POINTS WAS 25.2 PER CENT. KIM XIAN