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Today · 2026-09-13 · Sun

The Fed's probability of a 25-base point increase in September has risen to 57 per cent

ON 30 AUGUST, ACCORDING TO THE CME FEDERAL RESERVE WATCH, THE FED'S PROBABILITY OF MAINTAINING INTEREST RATES IN SEPTEMBER WAS 43 PER CENT, WITH A RATE INCREASE OF 57 PER CENT FOR 25 BASIS POINTS. PREVIOUSLY, WALSH'S SPEECH AT JACKSON HALL FRIDAY NIGHT WAS MORE HAWK THAN THE MARKET EXPECTED. WALSH SAYS THAT IF POLICYMAKERS ARE NOT CONVINCED THAT INFLATION IS FALLING BACK TO 2 PER CENT "AT A CLEAR AND FAST ENOUGH RATE," THE FED "HAD WORK TO DO." THIS SUGGESTS THAT IF PRICE PRESSURES DO NOT IMPROVE, THE FED COULD RAISE INTEREST RATES NEXT. A NON-FARM EMPLOYMENT REPORT AND A CPI INFLATION REPORT WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE PRIOR TO THE SEPTEMBER FED MEETING, WITH SOME SECONDARY DATA RELEASE. GIVEN THAT RECENT UNITED STATES EMPLOYMENT REPORTS HAVE FALLEN SHORT OF EXPECTATIONS AND THAT THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT GAPS, ANY FURTHER SIGN OF WEAKNESS COULD SERIOUSLY WEAKEN THE MARKET ' S EXPECTATIONS OF A SEPTEMBER HIKE。

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Anthropic wrote the decrease as an increase: Claude Code was 17 per cent less on September 14th

Anthropic announced a permanent 25 per cent increase in Claude Code ' s standard week from 14 September. However, for current users, the actual level of availability would be reduced by about 17 per cent. The previous standard, if calculated at 100, is now temporarily increased by 50 per cent and users actually receive 150. After 14 September, the temporary increment ended and the new standard became 125, i.e., from the current level of 150 down to 125, an actual shortfall of about 16.7 per cent. Anthropic subsequently confirmed that it represented a 17 per cent decrease compared to today。

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Ansem: Encryption lines are still in their early stages, and some price stages are still at their starting point

On 30 August, KOL Ansem was encrypted to state that two weeks ago it had determined that the current situation was still at a very early stage and that this view was maintained. Even if investors do not have the appropriate tokens, they may still have a higher return if they start to focus on the market, plan their transactions and set their entry prices in batches. In response to the tokens that had entered the price discovery phase, Ansem argued that the current price was still close to the start of the current round, and that follow-up would not necessarily provide a clear better entry position than at the current stage. Therefore, investors who are not yet in a position to do so should plan ahead of schedule, rather than wait for the full warming of market attention before making a decision。

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Prominent trader: Bitcoin or will shock between $71,000 and $82,000, still bet on a breakthrough

On 30 August, a well-known trader, Doctor Profit, indicated that bitcoin could increase the noise over the next few days and that many would also be under greater pressure. In its view, the market could, in the short term, clean up through price volatility, many of the high-entry and unsatisfied. It is expected that the BTC will experience an intermingling of $71,000 to $82,000, of which $71,000 is at the bottom and $82,000 at the top of the gap. He continued to bet bitcoin that eventually made a breakthrough, whether in the first or the third attempt. DoctorProfit stressed that it was not currently empty or sold and that it continued to hold spot from around $62,000。

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Analyst: US Employment Report will support Walsh ' s perception of the labour market

On 30 August, economists predicted that the monthly employment report released on Friday by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics would show that non-farm employment had increased by 55,000 in August, following an unexpected decline in employment in July. If so, the result would be broadly consistent with the average monthly increase since the current year. Unemployment is expected to remain at 4.1 per cent. Ana Wong, an analyst, stated that the hawk speech by Walsh at Jackson Hall raised the possibility of a September hike and changed the market ' s expectations as to how the data should be interpreted next week. The August report on non-farm employment is still the headline, but the expected signs of weakness may not be as decisive as usual. Walsh described the labour market as being in good health and noted that the slowdown in employment growth was often a demographic problem rather than an economic downturn. Kim Xian

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Economists expect an increase of 55,000 in non-farm employment in the United States in August

Economists expect non-farm employment to increase by 55,000 in the United States in August, and unemployment is expected to remain at 4.1 per cent. Ana Wong, an analyst, stated that the statement made by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh at Jackson Hall raised the possibility of a further increase in September. Walsh described the labour market as being in good health and noted that the slowdown in employment growth was often a demographic problem. Such employment data performance will force the Fed to reassess the tight path of monetary policy and provide a strong basis for subsequent interest-rate decisions。

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realtrumpcoins: no digital tokens have ever been issued or authorized to cooperate with law enforcement agencies

realtrumpcoins issued a statement on platform X stating that information about trumpcoins issuing, promoting or authorizing the issuance of digital tokens was false and that the relevant information was a malicious act by a third party. Realtrumpcoins never authorized any digital tokens, nor will they issue, promote or authorize any digital tokens in the future. Realtrumpcoins are currently working with law enforcement agencies to investigate the matter and seek to hold the persons concerned accountable。

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Cryptoquant founder: Bitcoin's own oxen peak will be driven by global agency and ETF demand

The Cryptoquant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju states that the peak of Bitcoin's own cattle market will be driven by agency funding outside the United States and ETF demand, and that deeper stable currency liquidity and a monetized asset infrastructure will increase global market participation. Ki Young Ju cited the example of Korea, where there is a shortage of spot bitcoin ETF, where most enterprises are unable to purchase BTC, and where the Financial Services Commission (FSC) road map covers about 3,500 listed companies and qualified professional investors, but financial institutions are still excluded. The Bitcoin Bank of Strategy used an index showing an overall adoption rate of 32 per cent for 25 major institutions. As at 29 August, RWA.xyz data showed a global monetized asset value of $38.633 billion, an increase of 2.65 per cent over 30 days ago. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) indicated that there was potential for fast-disbursing stable currencies, but that the current design could entail financial integrity, liquidity and currency risks. Ki Young Ju notes that the cumulative net inflow of real bitcoin ETF in the United States is about $57 billion two years before its listing, and that the next phase will be global institutionalization, with more agencies using BTC as a strategic asset. (Bitcoin.com News)

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KK HERCULES CEO: MEMORY CHIP SHORTAGE WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 2030

ON 30 AUGUST, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER KK HERCULES GUOLU STATED THAT THE GLOBAL MEMORY CHIP SHORTAGE WAS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE END OF 2030, AND THAT THE RISK OF OVERSUPPLY WAS LOW, AS THE MEMORY CHIP WAS NO LONGER A “SIMPLIFIED COMMODITY” IN THE AI ERA. DESPITE THE MARKET'S CONCERN ABOUT THE INVESTMENT BUBBLE IN AI, HE SAID THAT HE “CAN'T SEE” THE RISK OF OVERSUPPLY OR THE SIGNAL OF A POTENTIAL RAM DOWN CYCLE, AS DEMAND FROM AI CLIENTS REMAINED STRONG. IF "WE CROSS THE AL PEAK, OR ANOTHER DOWN CYCLE IN THE FUTURE, THE CHALLENGE MAY ARISE. HOWEVER, I BELIEVE THAT THE NEXT CYCLE WILL BE DIFFERENT FROM THE ONE WE HAVE EXPERIENCED IN THE PAST FEW DECADES. EVEN IF THE NEXT CYCLE COMES, I DO NOT THINK IT WILL BE A STEEP DECLINE, BUT RATHER A SLOW DECLINE IN DEMAND AND POSSIBLY EVEN A STABILIZATION.”

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AN ADDITIONAL $43.24 MILLION IN BTC AND ETH AT AN ADDRESS, CURRENTLY AT A LOSS OF ABOUT $362,000

On 30 August, according to the chain analyst Aunt Ai (@ai 9684xtpa), the address was 0x77d...aee0e9 for the first time in a contract transaction at Hyperliquid at around 3 a.m. today, with two additional encrypted assets: 403.44 more with 10 times leverage, with a warehouse value of approximately $31.49 million; and 4781 more with 12 times leverage, with a warehouse value of approximately $11.75 million. The combined value of the two over-the-counters amounts to approximately $4.324 million and the current combined loss is approximately $362,000。

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Cordex fixed eight foods for Bugs: 10 to 50% more for the same amount, and the user resets twice in two days

Codex fixed eight categories of additional consumption and replaced all Codex and ChatGPT Work pay users. According to Tibo, the same amount is now expected to last 10 to 50 per cent more, depending on the mode of use. The most wasteful of tokens is `/goal ', some of which have been completed without a normal stop, with the possibility of eating 15 to 70 per cent of the week in one instance. Additional consumption problems have also been identified in photo compression, backstage memory, automated missions, sub-agents and MCPs. In addition, Tibo predicted that Codex would soon reach a new user milestone and implied that it would be celebrated, with a possible additional replacement tomorrow。

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