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Today · 2026-08-13 · Thu

Goldman Sachs: Gulf States accelerating the construction of oil pipelines around the Strait of Hormuz

ACCORDING TO THE GOLDMAN SACHS ANALYSIS, GULF STATES ARE ACCELERATING THE CONSTRUCTION OF OIL PIPELINES AROUND THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ TO REDUCE THEIR DEPENDENCE ON THE STRAIT. GOLDMAN SACHS' ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THE RISKS IN THE STRAITS OF HORMUZ WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AND THAT THE CURRENT GEOPOLITICAL PREMIUMS IN BRENT AND WTI OIL PRICES ARE UNLIKELY TO RECEDE RAPIDLY. GOLDMAN SACHS EXPECTS THAT BY THE END OF 2027, MORE THAN 45 PER CENT OF GULF OIL EXPORTS WILL BE ABLE TO AVERT RISKS IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, AND THAT THIS PROPORTION IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO OVER 60 PER CENT BY THE END OF 2028。

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The U.S. Government cleared Alameda Research/FTX seizure wallets, and ETH assets were decentralized to eight new addresses

On 15 July, after being monitored by Onchain Lens, yesterday was the seizure of assets in the Bitfinex hacker case, today it is the Alameda Research/FTX case. The United States Government has cleared another wallet containing seized assets and diverted funds to eight new addresses. The assets transferred included: 4,110 AXS (approximately $4.11 million), 5.37 YFI (approximately $1.14 million), 1,230 COMP (approximately $2.11 million), 311,600 MANA (approximately $2.18 million), 0.533 WBTC (approximately $3.44 million), 4,050 NMR (approximately $399 million), 138,950 RLC (approximately $4.07 million), 209.18 ETH (approximately $3.91 million). The balance of the original wallet is now zero。

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Japan ' s manufacturing confidence has been hampered by the cost of services as the demand for chips remains optimistic

JAPAN ' S MANUFACTURING CONFIDENCE, UNDERPINNED BY ROBUST SEMICONDUCTOR DEMAND, REMAINED RELATIVELY OPTIMISTIC AT 13 IN JULY. HOWEVER, NON-MANUFACTURING CONFIDENCE DECLINED AS A RESULT OF THE MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT, THE WEAK YEN AND RISING INTEREST RATES PUSHED UP COSTS, AND THE SHORT-TERM NON-MANUFACTURING WINDFALL INDEX FELL FROM 32 TO 25. MANUFACTURING ENTERPRISES REPORTED A RECOVERY IN THE SEMICONDUCTOR MARKET, A RAPID EXPANSION OF CHIP APPLICATIONS AND ORDERS FOR PRODUCTS RELATED TO THE AI SERVER AND A GENERAL RISE IN ELECTRONIC PARTS ORDERS. THE MANAGER OF A SOPHISTICATED MACHINE MANUFACTURER STATED THAT THE ORDER VOLUME AND THE ORDER VOLUME WERE AT UNPRECEDENTED LEVELS AND FEARED THAT THE CAPACITY WOULD NOT KEEP PACE. LOOKING AHEAD, MANUFACTURERS EXPECT THAT CONFIDENCE WILL REMAIN STABLE, THAT THE OCTOBER CLIMATE JUDGEMENT INDEX IS EXPECTED TO RISE SLIGHTLY TO 14, AND THAT THE NON-MANUFACTURING INDEX IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 25, AS ENTERPRISES ARE ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF GEOPOLITICAL RISKS AND SUPPLY CHAIN CHALLENGES。

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THE WHITE HOUSE LAUNCHED THE GOLDEN EAGLE AI INITIATIVE ON CYBERSECURITY

THE WHITE HOUSE ANNOUNCED THE LAUNCH OF THE “GOLDHAWK” AI INITIATIVE ON CYBERSECURITY, A PLATFORM DESIGNED TO COORDINATE RESPONSES TO CYBERSECURITY GAPS IN ORDER TO SIMPLIFY PROCESSES AND ADVANCE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE INNOVATION. THE WHITE HOUSE, THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE, THE DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND THE MINISTRY OF DEFENCE HAVE WORKED TOGETHER ON THIS INITIATIVE TO PRIORITIZE ADDRESSING NETWORK LOOPHOLES。

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The CFTC has ordered Kalshi to perform the Michigan deal and to compete with the state's regulatory powers

On Tuesday, 15 July, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ordered Kalshi, the predictive market platform, to perform all contracts of dealing involving residents of Michigan, directly calling for a previous court decision to set aside the relevant transactions. About two weeks ago, the Michigan Regional Court ordered Kalshi to cease providing a forecast contract for sporting events and requested that the part of the transaction that had been executed be cancelled. However, the CFTC made it clear that the Länder had no right to interfere in market transactions under federal supervision. In his statement, the Chairman of CFTC, Michael Selig, made a strong statement: “The state government cannot impose a contractual market in violation of federal obligations and federal law does not allow discrimination against residents of any state. Revoking implemented transactions is an unprecedented and dangerous initiative that could trigger a market chain reaction, undermining contractual certainty, a central building block of market operations.” Currently, CFTC has engaged in a positive exchange with several states on projected market jurisdiction, and has brought lawsuits against Connecticut, Illinois and New York, in an attempt to clarify the regulatory dominance that Congress has given to federal agencies. This race for power between the Federation and the Länder may ultimately be decided by the Supreme Court。

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Mizuho lowers the Circle rating to the big game, calling OpenUSD competitive or compressed profit margin

On 15 July, Mizuho lowered the Circle rating from neutral to large, and lowered the target price from $85 to $50, alleging rising competitive pressure from OpenUSD. The Bank indicated that OpenUSD ' s straight-through model could force Circle to share more reserve revenues with distribution partners, thus reducing profit margins. Mizuho revised the EBITA projection downwards to $699 million, which is about 25 per cent lower than the Wall Street Consensus forecast, after the 2027 adjustment, and warned that the upcoming Cinbase revenue split may increase pressure。

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THE WHITE HOUSE LAUNCHED THE GOLDEN EAGLE AI INITIATIVE ON CYBERSECURITY

On July 15th, the statement showed that the White House of the United States launched the Golden Eagle initiative, a platform designed to coordinate the response to cyber-security gaps to simplify processes and advance artificial intelligence innovation. The White House, the Ministry of Finance, the Department of Homeland Security and the Ministry of Defence have worked together on this initiative to prioritize addressing network loopholes。

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Local government in Iran: exchange of fire in the Strait of Hormuz

On 15 July, in the early morning hours of 15 July, the Iranian news agency Mehr quoted information from the Iranian government in the province of Hormuzgan that there had been an exchange of fire in the Strait of Hormuz and that explosions had been heard in the coastal districts of the province, at Abbas port and on the islands in the Persian Gulf. It was also reported earlier in the day by the Iranian news agency Mehr that several explosions had been heard in Sirik district, Holmuzgan province, or in connection with an exchange of fire in nearby waters. Siric is located at the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz. Xinhua

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Joint British-American Statement: Planning for the application of stabilization currency in cross-border finance

On 15 July, the United Kingdom and the United States issued a joint statement on the currency of stability, which states that the United Kingdom and the United States are committed to deepening their cooperation in the areas of capital markets and digital assets, as reflected in the United States-United States Joint Trans-Atlantic Working Group on Future Markets, and to ensuring that digital financial innovation strengthens rather than severs the transatlantic financial market system. Both Governments considered that well-regulated and stable currencies had the potential to promote the efficiency and competitiveness of the financial system, modernize financial market infrastructure and improve cross-border payment and trading experiences. At the same time, both Governments recognized the importance of promoting competition and innovation, preserving financial stability, protecting consumer interests and maintaining public confidence in the monetary system in a financial ecosystem that encompassed multiple monetary forms。

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The UK will delay the imposition of capital gains tax on DeFi's lending and liquidity pool deposits

On 15 July, the British tax authorities confirmed that the deposit of encrypted assets into the DeFi loan agreement and the mobility pool would no longer be considered taxable. This means that investors do not have to pay capital gains tax until economic assets are disposed of. This adjustment was published in a policy paper issued by the British Government and will enter into force on 6 April 2027 and will amend the Taxable Proceeds Act 1992. This policy change will affect approximately 700,000 individuals and trustees using encrypted loans and liquidity pool services。

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Trump said he had a meeting with the Iranian side and threatened to hit the power plant

On 15 July, the President of the United States, Trump, stated that the attack on Iran would continue “until I say `Enough'”. In addition, Trump indicated that the United States had met with the Iranian side on Tuesday and that the United States urged Iran to reach an agreement. He also indicated that the blow to Iran ' s energy facilities would be left to the end. Trump threatened that next week we would destroy the Iranian power plant and their bridge. Unless they return to the negotiating table, we will destroy all their power plants and bridges。

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There was an exchange of fire in the Straits of Hormuz, Iran

According to Xinhua, according to the Iranian provincial government of Hormuzgan, there was an exchange of fire in the Straits of Hormuz and explosions were heard in the coastal districts of the province, the port of Abbas and the islands in the Persian Gulf. The sound of explosions was also heard in Sirik County, Holmuzgan Province, in connection with an exchange of fire in the surrounding waters, which is located at the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz。

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