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Today · 2026-07-31 · Fri

Public media: Russia is most likely to launch a new wave of large-scale air strikes early this evening or in the next few days

On 25 July, according to the British Financial Times, President Zelensky of Ukraine and Western intelligence sources warned that Russia would most likely launch a new wave of large-scale air strikes at the earliest possible date tonight or in the coming days. In his evening address, Zelensky said: “We have learned from our partners that the Russian side is ready for a missile and is planning a new wave of massive strikes on Ukraine. The strike may be today; preliminary information indicates that the operation will take place within the next 48 hours. Please be safe and watch out for air defence alerts.”

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SpaceX stock price drops or comes up with an opportunity for Morgan Stanley's analyst to look at its AI business valuation

On 25 July, Morgan Stanley Analyst stated that the sale of SpaceX stock had pushed its stock price to near a level that meant that investors valued their artificial intelligence operations at zero. The Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas wrote in his report to the client on Friday: “We believe that there is a disconnect between the current growing pessimism of investors and the largely unchanged fundamentals of the company, which creates an attractive opportunity for investors to buy spaceX stock.” Jonas indicated that many investors expected that, with the first stock limitation period expiring next month, part of the insiders could sell their shares, and SpaceX would fall further to $100 per share. In his view, at this level, investors were in fact giving SpaceX a zero or even negative valuation of artificial intelligence operations. The analyst gave SpaceX equities a target price of $300, over 50 per cent of which was derived from the company ' s artificial intelligence operations。

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Trump claims that negotiations between the United States and Iran do not preclude increased military strikes

On 25 July, United States President Trump, speaking at the White House on 24 July on the “exit strategy” for the Iranian war, stated that the United States had two options: to continue the current military operations and possibly to step up its efforts to gradually destroy Iran's military capabilities; and to negotiate an agreement. According to Trump, the Iranian side wanted to reach an agreement, but it is “not ready”. He indicated that the United States could continue to act in the way it currently did, and could do so more quickly. At the same time, Trump stated that the United States was still negotiating with Iran, “as we speak, the two sides are talking”. (In Russian)

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CFTC: SPECULATORS AS OF JULY 21ND REDUCED THE NET OPEN POSITION OF CBOT US 2-YEAR NATIONAL DEBT BY 2880 HANDS

ON 25 JULY, ACCORDING TO THE UNITED STATES COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION (CFTC): IN THE WEEK TO 21 JULY, SPECULATORS REDUCED THE NET EMPTY POSITION OF CBOT UNITED STATES 2-YEAR NATIONAL DEBT BY 2,880 TO 1,154,597. SPECULATORS REDUCED THE NET EMPTY POSITION OF THE CBOT UNITED STATES FIVE-YEAR NATIONAL DEBT BY 20,954 HANDS TO 1,273,329. SPECULATORS ADDED 48,031 HANDS TO 879,706 TO THE NET EMPTY POSITION OF CBOT UNITED STATES 10-YEAR NATIONAL DEBT. SPECULATORS INCREASED THE NET EMPTY POSITION OF THE UNITED STATES TREASURY DEBT BY 7,734 TO 186,790。

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Barclays: The impasse in the Straits of Hormuz could last for another three months at a price of $150 per barrel

On 25 July, Barclay indicated that the risks projected for oil prices were upwards, depending on the duration of the impasse in the Strait of Hormuz, and that spot oil prices could lead the way and test $150 per barrel under a three-month scenario. If the current situation continues for another month, two months or three months, there is a risk that oil prices will rise by $2, $7 or $10 per barrel, respectively, compared with the projection of $96 per barrel of Brent crude oil for 2026。

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The international crude oil futures settlement price fell by over 3 per cent and increased by almost 10 per cent this week

ON 25 JULY, THE INTERNATIONAL CRUDE OIL FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE FELL BY OVER 3 PER CENT. THE WTI CRUDE OIL FUTURES CONTRACT PRICE FELL BY 3.12 PER CENT IN SEPTEMBER, REPORTING USD 89.31/BARREL; THE WTI MAIN COMPANY INCREASED BY 8.27 PER CENT THIS WEEK. BRENT'S CRUDE OIL FUTURES CONTRACT SETTLEMENT PRICE FELL BY 3.88 PER CENT IN SEPTEMBER, REPORTING $96.78/BARREL, AN INCREASE OF 9.85 PER CENT THIS WEEK。

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Trump claims that European Union “grabbing” American enterprises threatened to launch 301 investigations and impose large-scale tariffs

On 25 July, the President of the United States, Trump: The European Union has, as always, directly targeted United States enterprises, and these actions will not continue during the term of office of the Trump Government. We will immediately launch 301 investigations into the “grabbing” of American businesses to the detriment of American taxpayers. The EU sanctions will be completely eliminated, and we expect to impose large tariffs on the EU at the earliest opportunity。

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Increased cost pressure will raise the price of the chip by two hundred points. That's right

On 25 July, Chase was one of the world ' s largest manufacturers of smartphone processors. The company informed its customers that the price of the product would have to be increased by a double-digit percentage because of the increase in costs. According to a document cited by external sources, he sent a letter to customers on Friday to increase prices. Chase indicated that the price increase would apply to products shipped after 1 September. It stated that its ability to absorb the increased costs of suppliers had been exhausted and that it had tried to obtain alternative parts from new sources。

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The United States and the United Kingdom proposed to convene a conference on the Strait of Hormuz to facilitate the formation of the Holmuz Strait Caring Union

ON 25 JULY, THE UNITED STATES AND THE UNITED KINGDOM PLAN TO CONVENE A HIGH-LEVEL MEETING NEXT WEEK IN LONDON, WHICH WILL FOCUS ON THE ESTABLISHMENT OF A POTENTIAL INTERNATIONAL COALITION TO PROTECT MARITIME SHIPPING IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, ACCORDING TO TWO EUROPEAN DIPLOMATS AND TWO OTHER INFORMED SOURCES CITED ON THE AXIOS WEBSITE. ACCORDING TO THE REPORT, THE SCHEDULE AND DATE OF THE TRIP ARE STILL UNDER DISCUSSION AND HAVE NOT YET BEEN FINALIZED. THE UNITED STATES SECRETARY OF DEFENSE, HERGESS, AND THE CHAIRMAN OF THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF, GENERAL DAN KANE, MAY BE PRESENT. ACCORDING TO SOURCES, THE UNITED STATES HOPES TO BUILD ON THE DISCUSSIONS THAT HAVE TAKEN PLACE IN RECENT MONTHS BETWEEN BRITAIN AND FRANCE AND A NUMBER OF COUNTRIES ON THE POTENTIAL ALLIANCE OF NATIONS IN THE STRAITS OF HORMUZ. ONE OF THE KEY CONDITIONS SET BY MANY STATES IS THAT FIGHTING IN THE STRAITS MUST END IN ORDER TO ENSURE THAT CONDITIONS ON THE GROUND ARE SUFFICIENTLY SECURE TO ALLOW FOR INTERNATIONAL MARITIME MISSIONS. ACCORDING TO SOURCES, THE UNITED STATES WOULD LIKE ITS ALLIES TO SEND ASSETS SUCH AS DEMINING VESSELS, NAVAL VESSELS AND DRONES TO THE AREA TO HELP ENSURE THE SAFETY OF THE SHIPPING LANES。

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The U.S. Senate may not be able to pass Clarity Act before the summer recess

On 24 July, John Thune, leader of the majority party in the United States Senate, stated that the CIATY Act might not be able to complete its adoption before the summer recess, but that it was hoped that at least the entire House review process would be initiated before the recess. The industry had previously considered August 7 as an important window for the adoption of the Act during the year, and the possibility of completing legislation by 2026 would be reduced if it were to be extended until the autumn. Patrick Witt, the White House encryption consultant, argued that the Senate could still take action in the first week of August, but that the likelihood of a final vote on the bill in July was low。

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It is known that Pakistan is exploring ways to resume negotiations between the United States and Iran

On 24 July, according to three Pakistani sources, Pakistan was exploring ways to restart negotiations between the United States and Iran to end the war that had lasted for almost five months. According to the source, the Iranian Minister of the Interior, Eskandar Momeni, held exploratory talks during his visit to Islamabad this week — his second visit in the past 10 days. According to a statement by the Government of Pakistan, the Mormeni, who was seen as close to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, met this week with Asim Munir, leader of the Government of Pakistan and head of the military. All three sources warned that obstacles to negotiations with the United States remained high。

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Michael Saylor: STRC has become the largest hold of the ETF of the three US priority shares

On July 24, the founder of Strategy, Michael Saylor, wrote that the STRC has now become the largest holding pad for the three leading priority units in the United States, ETF, with a combined holdings of $756 million. It includes PFFs under the Beled, Virtus InfraCap and PFXFs under the VanEck flag. According to Saylor, “digital credit is entering the institutional mainstream”。

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Coinbase Information: Maintaining a neutral view of the Q3 encryption market

On 24 July, Coinbase Institute and Glassnode jointly published a market report to maintain a neutral outlook for the encrypted market in the third quarter of 2026. In the second quarter, the total market value of the encrypted market, which does not contain a stable currency, fell by about 12 per cent, with a record high in the supply of stable currency. The chain data indicate that bitcoin may be moving from the revision/adjustment phase to the accumulation phase, with a condensed valuation, a recent active supply approaching a low point of many years, and a share of the profit-making supply falling off the path of historical statistics (historically corresponding to accumulation rather than distribution regions). However, the macroeconomic liquidity environment is tight. The Fed, led by Kevin Warsh, has maintained the hawk position, with the United States dollar being strong, superseding geo-risk, pressure on the digital asset bank to sell, and the first half of the year of the BTC/ETH spot ETF net outflow (although the rate of outflows has begun to slow down), and has therefore been cautious as a whole。

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