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Today · 2026-08-22 · Sat

CICAD: BIANNUAL COMPUTER PLATE FORECAST THE CONTINUED DISCLOSURE OF AI COMPUTING HARDWARE HIGHVIEW GAS

According to CIBSR, the six-monthly report of the A share computer block forecasts the continuation of the AI industry chain atmosphere with the overseas model over time: on the one hand, the performance of the AI server, the smart infrastructure and the software and AI application start to reflect operational repairs and revenue landings; on the other hand, the OpenAI, xAI, Meta and other overseas models continue to strengthen Agent, Coding, Multimodular and Office Accesses, and model competition is expected to continue to resonate from capacity validation to high-frequency site locations, with reasoning on side power consumption, infrastructure inputs and the commercialization of AI applications。

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Wall Street Journal survey: Iran's war hit less than expected, but inflation is more persistent

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL THIS MONTH INVESTIGATED ECONOMISTS THAT THE IMPACT OF THE WAR WITH IRAN ON THE US ECONOMY WAS MUCH LOWER THAN ECONOMISTS HAD PREVIOUSLY FEARED. BUT THE BAD NEWS IS THAT THE WAR HAS HARDENED INFLATION, ALREADY ABOVE THE FED’S 2% TARGET, AND HAS DEPRIVED THE FED OF THE SPACE TO REDUCE INTEREST RATES. THE VIEWS OF ECONOMISTS HAVE CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY COMPARED TO THE APRIL SURVEY ABOUT A MONTH AFTER THE WAR. FORECASTS PREDICT THAT THE UNITED STATES ECONOMY WILL GROW BY 2.1 PER CENT THIS YEAR, BASED ON INFLATION-ADJUSTED GDP FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2025 TO THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2026, UP FROM THE 2 PER CENT FORECAST IN APRIL. ECONOMISTS ARE EXPECTED TO REDUCE THE AVERAGE PROBABILITY OF RECESSION IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS FROM 33 PER CENT IN APRIL TO 25 PER CENT, THE LOWEST LEVEL SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2025. HOWEVER, IMPROVED GROWTH PROSPECTS HAVE BEEN ACCOMPANIED BY HEIGHTENED CONCERNS ABOUT INFLATION. ECONOMISTS EXPECT CPI TO RISE BY 3.4 PER CENT IN THE 12 MONTHS UP TO DECEMBER, UP FROM 3.2 PER CENT IN THE APRIL SURVEY. INFLATIONARY CONCERNS HAVE SURPASSED THE WAR'S BOOST TO ENERGY COSTS. ECONOMIST PREDICTS THAT FED OFFICIALS ARE WATCHING CLOSELY. PCE INFLATION, EXCLUDING FOOD AND ENERGY, WILL RISE BY 3.2 PER CENT IN 2026, UP FROM THE 2.9 PER CENT FORECAST IN APRIL。

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The biggest one-month retreat after the collapse of Terra in June, but the long-term growth logic remained unchanged

The stable currency market experienced its largest reversal in recent years in June, when the total market value decreased by $7.7 billion, the largest single-month decline since the collapse of Terra-Luna in May 2022. Since its peak in May, the stable currency market has accumulated around US$ 10 billion, two of which have been the main driving force behind the round: the USDT market value of Tether's release fell from about US$ 190 billion in May to US$ 184 billion, a decrease of about US$ 6 billion; and the USDC issued by Circle fell from a high point of almost US$ 80 billion in March 2026 to about US$ 73 billion and water shrunk to about US$ 7 billion. However, compared to the cumulative decline of more than 26 per cent in the stable currency market during the encrypted winter of 2022, the current round of adjustments is still modest, Wall Street agencies are still looking forward to a long-term outlook for the stable currency, with the flag forecast that the size of the global stable currency market would reach $1.9 trillion in 2030 under the benchmark scenario and $4 trillion under the optimistic scenario。

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Israeli parliamentary elections on 27 October were held for the first time in nearly 40 years without early elections

According to the Israeli Times, the Chairman of the House of Representatives Committee of the Knesset, Ophel Katz, announced that parliamentary elections would be held on 27 October. The current session of Parliament will complete its statutory four-year term on 17 July and the elections will be held on the dates specified by law. In his discussions, the Knesset Legal Adviser, Sajit Afiq, stated that the current Knesset “will complete its full term and will not be dissolved earlier”, which means that there is no need for an early dissolution bill. This will be the first time in nearly 40 years for Israel to hold parliamentary elections in accordance with the legal time frame and the first Government to complete its full term in more than 50 years。

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Russians claim four dead and four wounded as a result of an attack on the Zapolo-Photo satellite city

According to General view, the Chief Executive Officer of the Russian State Atomic Energy Company, Lihachev, stated on 12 December that the city of Enirgodar, the satellite city of the Zaporothe nuclear power plant, had been attacked by the Ukrainian army, killing four people and injuring four others. It was also reported by the Russian-appointed mayor of the city of Eniergodal, Phoff, that in the early morning hours of the day, UA drones attacked a bus station in the city, killing one person and wounding four others. According to Russian sources, since 27 April, 11 people have been killed and dozens wounded in the city as a result of attacks by the Ukrainian army. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded。

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ClearBridge Canadian Stock Strategy 2026 Q2 Review

ClearBridge Canada ' s equity strategy was strong in the second quarter of 2026, with the S&P/TSX aggregate total return index increasing by 7.0 per cent, the eighth consecutive quarter. The geopolitical uncertainties, particularly the Iranian war and the risks in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to affect the energy market. At the same time, AI-related capital spending, energy infrastructure and the broader “Building Canada” initiative have underpinned strong performance in some cyclical, industrial, financial and infrastructure areas. Although the Canadian economy has temporarily entered a technological recession, with real GDP shrunk in the fourth quarter of 2025 and in the first quarter largely flat, the areas of AI infrastructure, defence and robotics have attracted strong investor interest. Overall, ClearBridge ' s Canadian equity strategy performed well in absolute return in the second quarter, although relative performance lagged behind the benchmark。

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Retirees were converted to Roth IRA with a low tax on 11-year window period

Retirees enjoy a window period of approximately 11 years before the age of 75, allowing for a conversion of Roth IRA at a federal rate of 12 per cent. However, the average amount converted by retirees during the window was zero, mainly because conversion taxes were almost impossible to pay at a rate of 3.9 per cent of individual savings. Financial educator Susie Oman suggested a small-year conversion to ensure that taxes come from brokerage accounts rather than IRA. In 2026, the maximum tax rate for married couples was $100,800 for 12% and $211,400 for 22%. Most households did not make effective use of this tax opportunity for 11 years and may eventually face higher tax rates and compulsory withdrawals。

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Stable currency markets have lost $10 billion since May

The stable currency market has lost about $10 billion since it reached its historic high in May 2026. Total supply declined by $7.7 billion in June to approximately $312 billion, the largest monthly decline since the collapse of TerrausD in May 2022. Current data show that Tether's USDT is about US$ 18.415 billion and Circle's USDC is about US$ 73.41 billion. USDT still accounts for nearly 59 per cent of the market, indicating a high dependency on these two largest dollar-backed tokens. While small compliance distributors continued to expand during the same period, overall market pressure continued。

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Iran's attack on the United States missile launch base in Kuwait

ACCORDING TO THE IRANIAN NEWS AGENCY MEHR, IRAN LAUNCHED AN ATTACK ON THE UNITED STATES MISSILE LAUNCH SITE IN KUWAIT. THE ATACMS MISSILE SYSTEM FACILITY INSIDE THE UNITED STATES MILITARY BASE IN KUWAIT WAS ATTACKED AND SMOKE WAS RAISED. AT THE SAME TIME, THE PRESIDENT OF IRAN HAS STATED THAT WE ARE ENGAGED IN A COMPLEX ECONOMIC WAR AND THAT THE SUCCESSFUL RESOLUTION OF THIS PHASE REQUIRES THE ACTIVE PARTICIPATION OF CITIZENS. ISRAELI PRIME MINISTER NETANYAHU EXPRESSED THE WISH OF TRUMP TO REACH AN AGREEMENT WITH IRAN, PARTICULARLY ON THE NUCLEAR ISSUE, BUT HE WOULD NOT HESITATE TO USE FORCE IF IRAN DID NOT COMPLY WITH ITS COMMITMENTS。

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Wall Street Journal survey: inflation is expected to rise and interest rates are expected to remain unchanged during the year

ACCORDING TO THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, ECONOMISTS INCREASED THE DECEMBER 2026 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) FORECAST FROM 3.2 PER CENT TO 3.4 PER CENT. AS THE WAR IN IRAN LED TO MORE LONG-TERM INFLATION THAN EXPECTED, THE FEDERAL RESERVE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTEREST RATES AT THE END OF THE YEAR BETWEEN 3.5 AND 3.75 PER CENT, WITH ONLY 15 PER CENT OF ECONOMISTS CONSIDERING THE INCREASE POSSIBLE. OIL PRICES REACHED US$ 112.95 DURING THE PEAK OF THE CONFLICT, WHICH LATER FELL TO US$ 71 AFTER THE JUNE CEASEFIRE。

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The Navy Chief supports NATO's larger role

According to Bloomberg, Adm. Daryl Caudle, the Chief Combat Officer of the Navy, said that the NATO naval alliance remained strong, with the United States shifting more responsibilities to its allies while focusing on the capabilities that only the United States Navy could provide. He noted that the Navy was accelerating the development of an autonomous system that was prepared to cope with growing competition in the Arctic and made the protection of global sea lanes a key national security priority for the United States。

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