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Today · 2026-08-01 · Sat

Spectra Managing Director Donnelly: There's room for the dollar to rise before the Fed decides

On 23 July, the President of Spectra Markets, Brent Donnelly, stated that the dollar might get stronger a few days before the Federal Reserve interest rate resolution of 29 July, as traders would digest a certain probability that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh would increase interest rates. “The market is convinced that Walsh is serious about re-establishing his credibility in fighting inflation. Given that the dollar is slightly light, and that the hawks are more likely to be present at this conference, there is still room for the next seven days for the dollar to rise.” “I look at the dollar in short,” he said。

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The Fed maintains the interest rate at 65.3 per cent in July

ON 23 JULY, ACCORDING TO THE CME FEDERAL RESERVE WATCH: THE FED'S PROBABILITY OF MAINTAINING INTEREST RATES IN JULY WAS 65.3 PER CENT, AND THE PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 25 BASIS POINTS WAS 34.7 PER CENT. THE FED HAD A 22 PER CENT PROBABILITY OF MAINTAINING INTEREST RATES IN SEPTEMBER AND A 54.9 PER CENT PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 25 BASIS POINTS AND A 23 PER CENT PROBABILITY OF A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF 50 BASIS POINTS。

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ENCRYPTED PAC SPENDING OVER $986 MILLION ON THE MICHIGAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY PRIMARIES

On 23 July, a paper submitted to the United States Federal Electoral Commission (FEC) by the Associated Organization of the Encoded Currency-Related Political Action Committee Fairsake showed that, as of Tuesday, it had spent over $986 million in support of the current House of Representatives of the 13th Congress Constituent Democratic Party in Michigan, Shri Thanedar, and opposed the challenger Donavan McKinney. The expenditure occurred two weeks before the Democratic Party's primaries on August 4, which will determine the candidates for the November elections. Protec Progress PAC spent approximately $1 million in support of Thanedar in 2024, when Thanedar obtained 54.9 per cent of the vote in the Democratic Party ' s initial election and 68.6 per cent in the November election. Fairshanke and its affiliates reported having $191 million in reserves to influence key elections. Other political action committees related to the encryption industry include Felixship, supported by Cantor Fitzgerald and Angelage Digital, and Blockchain Leadership Fund, supported by Angelage and Chainlink Labs. Protec Progress PAC also spent over $100,000 to support the re-election of Congressman Greg Stanton of Arizona. Defend American Jobs PAC spent more than $65,000 to support Amanda McKinney, a Republican candidate in constituency 4 in Washington State。

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Behind Pump.fun was the firm that recruited growth marketing officers with a base salary of up to $1 million a year

On 23 July, the development company Bason Corporation, behind Pump.fun, was recruiting growth marketing officers with a base annual salary of $400,000 to $1 million, with an incentive bonus. Pump.fun founder Alon stated that Pump.fun had grown into one of the largest parts of the encryption industry, with virtually no paid marketing. The next stage of the company ' s goal is to move Pump.fun from encryption products to the mainstream market as an application with hundreds of millions of users. The position requires candidates with experience in consumer-type application growth, has managed millions of dollars in marketing budgets and is familiar with strategies such as digital advertising, user-generated content and short video slices。

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The United States House of Representatives passed a bill to restrict the sale and purchase of shares

On 23 July, according to Politico, on Wednesday, the United States House of Representatives passed a bill aimed at restricting the purchase and sale of shares by members of Congress and their families; however, there was disagreement within the party because some Democrats believed the bill was not strong enough. This bill, known as the “Stop Inner Trading Bill”, was adopted by 232 votes to 198, with 13 Democrats voting in favour. Of the total 93 co-sponsors of the bill, only two were Democrats. Another more restrictive bill — requiring members of Parliament and their families to sell shares currently held by individuals — did not enter the voting process in the plenary of the House of Representatives, although it enjoyed broader bipartisan support. Most Democrats consider the measure that has been adopted to be inadequate, as it does not contain provisions for the compulsory sale of existing holdings. The bill will be submitted to the Senate for consideration。

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Greyscale Research Manager: Bitcoin or touched if the Fed does not raise interest Bottom

On 23 July, the Greyscale Research Manager, Zach Pandl, wrote that the market currently had two main points of view: following the “four-year cycle” and treating bitcoin as a mature asset driven by macro-factors. According to the four-year cycle, the events of halving the price cycle of Bitcoin remains a central driver. Historically, bitcoin has typically been cut at the bottom by about one year at the top of the cycle and by about 2.5 years, with a cumulative withdrawal of about 80 per cent on average. According to this pattern, the current round of bitcoin could fall further and form the bottom in September or October. Another view was that bitcoin prices would in the future be more affected by economic growth, real interest rates and changes in Federal Reserve policy than other major assets. The past rounds of Bitcoin Bears have usually been accompanied by a slowdown in economic growth or a rise in real interest rates, and the current downturn has also taken place in the context of expected warming and real interest rates at higher rates. Pandl indicates that it is more in agreement with the macro-driven view. If the Fed does not raise interest rates and economic growth remains stable, the price of bitcoin may have reached its bottom。

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The House of Representatives passed an annual defence policy bill totalling over trillion dollars

On 23 July, journalists learned on 22 July local time that the United States House of Representatives had passed an annual defence policy bill totalling nearly $1.15 trillion by a vote of 216 to 212 on the same day. The bill will be sent to the Senate for a vote. According to the information received, this Defence Authorization Act (NDAA), which aims to expand the United States' defence production capacity and will increase the remuneration of all active military personnel, authorizes the allocation of funds for the development of all types of aircraft, including the next generation of fighter jets, B-21 Raider bombers, P-8 maritime patrol aircraft, F-35 fighter planes and Chinook and Blackhawk helicopters. The Act also authorizes funds for the construction and support of a fourth Colombian class ballistic missile nuclear submarine, two Virginia class nuclear submarines and two Ali Burke class destroyers. The bill also codified a number of executive orders of the Trump Government. (In Russian)

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Al-Houthi armed forces alleged to have attacked two Saudi tankers or to have launched a larger strike inside Saudi territory

ON 23 JULY, THE YEMENI AL-HOUTHI FORCES ISSUED A STATEMENT IN WHICH THEY LAUNCHED A MILITARY STRIKE ON TWO SAUDI TANKERS IN RESPONSE TO WHAT THEY DESCRIBED AS THE SAUDI BLOCKADE IMPOSED ON YEMEN AND IN IMPLEMENTATION OF THEIR OPERATIONAL PRINCIPLE OF “RESPONDING TO THE BLOCKADE WITH THE BLOCKADE”. THE STATEMENT STATES THAT THE VESSELS ATTACKED WERE THE “ENCELIA” AND “LAYLA” AND THAT, IN VIOLATION OF THE RED SEA SHIPPING BAN PREVIOUSLY ISSUED BY THE HOUTHIS, THE HOUTHIS USED BALLISTIC MISSILES, CRUISE MISSILES AND DRONES TO STRIKE TWO TANKERS AND THAT THE ATTACK TRIGGERED FIRE ON TWO VESSELS. THE STATEMENT ALSO STATED THAT SOME 10 SHIPS HAD BEEN FORCED BY AL-HOUTHI FORCES TO RETURN THE SAME DAY. THE STATEMENT STATES THAT THE AL-HOUTHI FORCES WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY OUT NAVAL MILITARY OPERATIONS AGAINST SAUDI ARABIA AND CONTINUE TO IMPLEMENT THE SO-CALLED MEASURES “TO RESPOND TO THE BLOCKADE WITH A BLOCKADE”. THE STATEMENT ALSO WARNED THAT, SHOULD SAUDI ARABIA LAUNCH A NEW MILITARY OPERATION AGAINST YEMEN, THE AL-HOUTHI FORCES WOULD STRIKE AT SAUDI TARGETS ON A LARGER SCALE. (OBSERVED)

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TESLA HELD 11,509 BTCS UNSOLD FOR ALMOST FOUR YEARS, WITH AN IMPAIRMENT LOSS OF $112 MILLION

On 23 July, the stock of Tesrabitcoin remained unchanged at 11,509, continuing its status of non-purchase or sale of that encrypted currency for nearly four years, with an impairment loss of $112 million after taxing its digital assets. Bitcoin fell from about $83,000 to $58,000 in the second quarter and then went back to about $65,840. Tesla received $28.2 billion in the second quarter, which was higher than expected; the adjusted income per share was $0.33, which was lower than expected。

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Alphabet invested $98 billion in the second quarter, driving a net profit of $100 billion

On 23 July, Alphabet (GOOG.O) disclosed investment returns of $98 billion in the second quarter of its release. Alphabet did not specify the source of this windfall gain, but only described it in the financial statements as “a net unrealized gain derived mainly from the equity securities in our possession”. As a result of this increase, the company ' s net profit per share reached $9.11 million in the current season, well above the previous average for analysts of $2.90, while the net profit reached $116,856 million. Alphabet holds a large share of the Mask-based rocket company SpaceX; SpaceX conducted the largest IPO in history last month. In addition, Alphabet is a major investor in the artificial intelligence start-up company Anthropic, which is likely to be listed at the earliest in October this year. Mask praises Alphabet in social media。

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